Annual Conference

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Labour Economics

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May 2025

The Effect of House Prices on Fertility: Evidence from House Purchase Restrictions

Ziqian LIU, Yu ZHANG
We study the causal effect of house price increases on China’s great birth rate decline since 2016, as well as on the country’s marriage market and private educational investments. Using quasi-experimental increases in urban house prices in nearby unregulated prefectures—driven by capital spil...
Keywords: house prices, fertility choice, marriage, urbanization, human capital investment
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Annual Conference

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Labour Economics

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May 2025

Child Development, Parental Investments, and Social Capital

Qianyao YE
This paper examines the impact of social capital on child development. Social capital reflects neighborhood connectedness and neighbors’ engagement in child support and monitoring. I measure social capital using a novel neighborhood survey from the Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborh...
Keywords: child development, human capital, parental investments, neighborhood, and social capital
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Annual Conference

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Labour Economics

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May 2025

Measuring Labor Market Match Quality with Large Language Models

Yi CHEN, Hanming FANG, Yi ZHAO, Zibo ZHAO
We propose a novel method to assess labor market match quality using large language models (LLMs). Our approach tasks LLMs with the role of a human resources specialist to evaluate the fit between an applicant and a job. Our study consists of two parts. First, we validate the LLM approach using an a...
Keywords: Large Language Models, Categorical Variables, Labor Market Match Quality
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Annual Conference

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Labour Economics

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May 2025

Longevity and Occupational Choice

Marius GUENZEL, Ulrike MALMENDIER, Denis SOSYURA
The average adult spends nearly half of their waking hours at work. We document significant implications of occupational choice for individual health outcomes, which are not explained by other known determinants of socioeconomic status, such as income and wealth. Using administrative vital records f...
Keywords: Longevity, mortality, occupational choice, job tasks
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Annual Conference

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Sustainable and Green Finance

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May 2025

E vs. G: Environmental Policy and Earnings Management in China

Darwin CHOI, Feifei LAI
We find evidence that firms engage in earnings management to potentially diminish environmental regulatory attention after the implementation of an automatic air pollutant monitoring system in China. Polluting firms increase their use of discretionary accruals and reduce the informativeness of earni...
Keywords: ESG, Environmental Regulations, Accrual-Based Earnings Management, Corporate Governance, Automatic Monitoring System
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