AMPF Papers

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Commissioned Paper

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May 2024

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AMPF Papers

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Policy Note

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May 2024

After a decade of reforms aimed at ensuring no bank is too-big-to-fail, the collapse of Credit Suisse served as the first real-life test of this framework. A resolution following the international and Swiss too-big-to-fail framework would have involved recapitalizing Credit Suisse by bailing in all ...
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AMPF Papers

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Policy Note

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May 2023

With inflation surging worldwide, some commentators have speculated whether inflation expectations have become unanchored. This policy note presents a framework to evaluate whether an inflationary spike is due to temporary shifts in policy or the real economy on one hand, or due to an unanchoring of...
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AMPF Papers

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Policy Note

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May 2023

Inflation expectations of households and firms are central determinants in all dynamic macro models. Yet, empirical evidence suggests these decision makers form expectations in ways that deviate from the assumptions in these models: on average, inflation expectations are biased upwards relative to e...
Keywords: Macroeconomics, Intertemporal Choice, Consumption, Savings, Surveys, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, Experiments, Financial Decision-making, Cognition, Communication.
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AMPF Papers

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Commissioned Paper

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May 2023

Economists posit a critical real rate of interest below which the monetary policy setting is inflationary and above which it is deflationary. For roughly a decade after the Great Financial Crisis, many economists linked deflationary pressures to the difficulty central banks encountered in attaining ...
Keywords: interest rate, deflation, inflation, global factors, market indicators
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