Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2017

Tracking Retail Investor Activity

We provide an easy way to use recent, publicly available U.S. equity transactions data to identify retail purchases and sales. Based on retail order imbalances, we find that retail investors are informed at horizons up to 12 weeks. Individual stocks with net buying by retail investors outperform stocks with negative imbalances; the magnitude is approximately 10 basis points over the following week, or 5% annualized. Retail investors are better informed in smaller stocks with lower share prices. They do not, however, exhibit any market timing ability.
Keywords: retail investors, price improvement, return predictability
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