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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Another Look at Currency Risk in International Stock Returns

This paper offers new evidence on how currency risk is priced in the cross-section of international stock returns. Our experiment examines this long-standing question for a wide variety of test asset portfolios comprised of monthly returns for over 37,000 stocks from 46 countries over a two-decade period. We obtain some positive evidence of the pricing of currency risk, but the implied premia on the currency risk factors are economically small. The inferences are fragile - they depend critically on the benchmark factor models used, the sub-period evaluated, and even the composition of the test asset portfolios assessed. Overall, we judge that currency risk factors do not help to capture much of the time-series or cross-sectional variation in stock returns for global and regional portfolios.
Keywords: International asset pricing, currency risk, exchange rates
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