Senior Fellows/Fellows

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2025

The GENIUS Act, recently signed into law, establishes a dual federal and state regulatory framework for stablecoins, effectively segmenting the USD stablecoin market into GENIUS-compliant stablecoins and those that are not. This paper discusses the use cases and potential benefits of stablecoins in ...
Keywords: Cryptocurrency, digital assets, financial stability, payments, stablecoins
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2018

Exploiting the unique institutional setting of Hong Kong’s real estate market, we uncover a curious ripple effect of haunted houses on the prices of nearby houses. Prices drop on average 20% for units that become haunted, 10% for units on the same floor, 7% for units in the same block, and 1% for ...
Keywords: fire sales, Negative spillovers, Haunted houses
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2013

This paper examines the impact of rising transaction tax on trade volume, price volatility and informativeness. We take advantage of a policy change in Singapore that effectively raised the transaction cost for real estate speculators in only one submarket. Based on a difference-indifferences analys...
Keywords: transaction tax, volatility, speculators, informed traders, noise traders
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Senior Fellows/Fellows

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Senior Fellows/Fellows

Sparse models, though long preferred and pursued by social scientists, can be ineffective or unstable relative to large models, for example, in economic predictions (Giannone et al., 2021). To achieve sparsity for economic interpretation while effectively exploiting big data for superior empirical p...
Keywords: Asset Pricing, Bayesian Estimation, Decision Tree, Factors, Heterogeneity, Panel Data, Sorting, Sparsity, Spike-and-Slab, Structural Breaks
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2015

Do stock markets act as a spare tire during banking crises, providing an alternative corporate financing channel and mitigating the economic severity of these crises? Using firm-level data in 36 countries from 1990 through 2011, we find that the adverse consequences of banking crises on equity issua...
Keywords: Shareholder protection laws, Corporate finance, financial crises, Firm profits, Firm investment choices
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