Webinar Series

 

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Central Bank Swap Lines and Currency Choices in Trade: the Bank Risk Management Channel

This paper highlights that banks shape firms’ currency choice in trade, and that a central bank can internationalize its currency by changing foreign banks’ incentives to build balance sheets in it. Using Korean exporter–partner-country–year invoicing data for 2006–2019, the authors find that the Korea–China central bank swap line raised RMB invoicing among Korean exporters, largely at the dollar’s expense, while the expiry of the Korea–Japan line was followed by a fall in yen invoicing. Four pieces of evidence link these shifts to banks: Korean banks raised RMB deposit rates and cut yen rates after the respective events; firms whose main bank offered a wider destination-currency premium over the dollar invoiced more in that currency; banks’ foreign-currency de-posits, liabilities, and assets moved with the swap line events; and exporters whose main banks had greater pre-existing branch exposure to China shifted furthest toward the RMB. A model in which swap lines improve banks’ management of currency risk rationalizes these patterns.

16
Oct
2026
Friday

Session Chair: Bernard YEUNG
Chair Professor, Southern University of Science and Technology; Emeritus Professor, NUS Business School, National University of Singapore and Emeritus President, ABFER

10:00 am
Central Bank Swap Lines and Currency Choices in Trade: The Bank Risk Management Channel

Yang JIAO, Assistant Professor of Economics, School of Economics, Singapore Management University

Co-authors:
Ohyun KWON, Senior Data Scientist, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
Saiah LEE, Associate Professor of Economics, School of Business Administration, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology
Shang-Jin WEI, N.T. Wang Professor of Chinese Business and Economy and Professor of Finance and Economics, Graduate School of Business and SIPA, Columbia University
10:25 am
Discussion
Discussant:
Kai LI, Chair Professor of Finance, PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University
10:50 am
Q&A
11:10 am

Updated 30 Sep 2026

Session Format

Each session lasts for 1 hour 10 minutes (25 minutes for the author, 25 minutes for the discussant and 20 minutes for participants' Q&A). Sessions will be recorded and posted on ABFER website, except in cases where speakers or discussants request us not to.

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