Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2019

This paper revisits the monetary “trilemma” versus “dilemma” debate by examining empirically interest‐rate policy independence for a large sample of both advanced and developing countries over the period 1973–2014. We broadly concur with the growing body of literature that suggests that ...
Keywords: Asymmetry, capital controls, dilemma, exchange‐rate regime, trilemma
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2019

How does domestic monetary policy in systemic countries spillover to the rest of the world? This paper examines the transmission channel of domestic monetary policy in the cross-border context. We use exogenous shocks to monetary policy in systemically important economies, including the U.S., and lo...
Keywords: Monetary policy spillovers;International bank lending channel, Cross-border banking flows, Global financial cycles, Local projections
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2019

We develop a novel method to dynamically hedge foreign exchange exposure in international equity and bond portfolios. The method exploits the time-series predictability of currency returns, which we show emerges from exploiting a forecastable component in global factor returns. The hedging strategy ...
Keywords: global currency hedging, currency risk factors, currency returns, international portfolio diversification, mean-variance optimization
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2019

We relate currency mispricing originating from the breakdown of covered interest rate parity to the dealer balance-sheet constraints resulting from the post-crisis financial regulation. Using a unique data set on contract-level foreign exchange derivatives with disclosed counterparty identities, we ...
Keywords: exchange rates, dollar basis covered interest parity condition, arbitrage opportunities
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2019

In emerging market economies, currency appreciation goes hand in hand with compressed sovereign bond spreads, even for local currency sovereign bonds. This yield compression comes from a reduction in the credit risk premium. Crucially, the relevant exchange rate involved in yield compression is the ...
Keywords: Bond Spread, Capital Flow, Credit Risk, Emerging Market, exchange rate
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