Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2018

TechFin at Ant Financial: Credit Market Completion and its Growth Effect

Yi HUANG, Harald HAU , Hongzhe SHAN, Zixia SHENG
Ant Financial provides automated credit lines to more than a million firms trading on Alibaba’s Taobao e-commerce platform. Monthly credit records show how TechFin mitigates local credit supply frictions in China’s segmented credit market and extends the “frontier” of credit availability to ...
Keywords: TechFin, Credit Constraints, micro credit, Entrepreneurship
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Annual Conference

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Economic Transformation of Asia

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May 2017

A Structural Estimation on the Return to Public Infrastructure Investment in China

Guiying Laura WU, Zhifeng WANG, Qu FENG
This paper develops a model of endogenous productivity to examine the impact of public infrastructure investment on output. It matches Örm-level production data with province-level infrastructure data to address a set of wellknown identiÖcation issues in the literature, and employs a structural es...
Keywords: Public Infrastructure Investment, productivity, Rate of Return, Resource Reallocation
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Annual Conference

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Economic Transformation of Asia

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May 2016

To Stay or to Migrate? The One-child Policy, Work-based Migration and Land Entitlement in China

Yin-Chi WANG, Pei-Ju LIAO, Wang PING , Chong Kee YIP
With a dynamic macroeconomic model built to tailor the institutions of China, this paper studies how fertility control and migration policies shaped the rural-urban migration pattern and the economic development of China. Different from the reduced-form approach adopted by most of the existing liter...
Keywords: Rural-Urban Migration, Fertility, urbanization, development
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Annual Conference

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International Macroeconomics, Money & Banking

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May 2015

The Economics of Debt, Bailouts and the Eurozone Crisis

Pierre-Olivier GOURINCHAS , Philippe MARTIN
Despite a formal 'no-bailout clause', we estimate significant net present value transfers from the European Union to Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, ranging from roughly 0.5% (Ireland) to 43% (Greece) of 2011 output during the recent Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and un...
Keywords: sovereign debt, Bailouts, Eurozone Crisis
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Annual Conference

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Investment Finance, Senior Fellows/Fellows

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May 2014

How Constraining Are Limits to Arbitrage?

Wenlan QIAN, Alexander LJUNGQVIST
Limits to arbitrage play a central role in behavioral finance. They interfere with arbitrage processes so that security prices can deviate from true values for extended periods of time. We show empirically that limits to arbitrage need not be binding even in settings characterized by extreme costs o...
Keywords: Limits to arbitrage, short sale constraints, mispricing, Short Selling, activist short sellers, trading strategies, Behavioral finance, market efficiency
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